According to our analysis EURUSD moved 5 pips, US500 moved 13 points and BTC moved 177 points on US BLS Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on 13 January 2026.

205 pips potential performance in 2026 (2025: 1,828)

EURUSD (5 pips)

US500 (13 points)

BTC (177 points)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).


Inflation Ends 2025 Steady: What the December CPI Report Tells Us

The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics offers a clear snapshot of how inflation wrapped up 2025—and what it means for households heading into the new year.

Released on January 13, 2026, the report shows that inflation remains moderate but persistent, with price pressures still concentrated in essentials like housing, food, and certain services.

Headline Numbers at a Glance

  • Monthly CPI (December 2025): +0.3% (seasonally adjusted)

  • 12-month inflation rate: 2.7%, unchanged from November

  • Core inflation (excluding food & energy): 2.6% year over year

These figures suggest inflation is no longer accelerating, but it also hasn’t fully cooled back to pre-pandemic norms.

Housing: Still the Biggest Driver

Shelter costs were once again the largest contributor to December’s increase:

  • Shelter index: +0.4% in December

  • 12-month shelter inflation: +3.2%

Rent and owners’ equivalent rent both rose, while lodging away from home jumped sharply (+2.9% for the month). Housing remains the stickiest part of inflation—and the hardest for consumers to avoid.

Food Prices Pick Up Speed

Food prices rose faster than overall inflation in December:

  • Food (overall): +0.7% in December

  • Food at home: +2.4% year over year

  • Food away from home: +4.1% year over year

Notable details:

  • Grocery staples like dairy, cereals, fruits, and vegetables all increased.

  • Egg prices fell sharply (-8.2%), offering rare relief.

  • Restaurant prices continue to climb, especially for full-service meals.

For many households, food remains one of the most noticeable inflation pressures.

Energy: Mixed Signals

Energy prices edged higher overall, but the details matter:

  • Energy index: +0.3% in December, +2.3% over the year

  • Gasoline: -0.5% in December, -3.4% year over year

  • Electricity: +6.7% year over year

  • Natural gas: +10.8% year over year

Drivers benefited from cheaper gasoline, but utility bills—especially heating—continued to rise.

Services Inflation Remains Firm

Core services showed broad-based increases:

  • Medical care: +0.4% in December, +3.2% year over year

  • Recreation: +1.2% in December (largest monthly jump on record)

  • Airline fares: +5.2% in December

  • Personal care & education: continued steady increases

On the flip side:

  • Used cars and trucks: -1.1% in December

  • Communication services: -1.9%

What This Means for 2026

As 2025 closed:

  • Inflation appears stable, not surging—but not fully subdued.

  • Housing and services remain the key inflation risks.

  • Goods inflation (like vehicles and gasoline) continues to ease.

With the January 2026 CPI report scheduled for February 11, 2026, policymakers and consumers alike will be watching closely to see whether inflation finally drifts closer to the Federal Reserve’s long-term comfort zone.

Bottom Line

Inflation ended 2025 steady but uneven. While energy and goods offered some relief, everyday essentials—housing, food, and services—kept upward pressure on household budgets. The battle against inflation isn’t over, but it’s no longer spiraling out of control either.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm


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