According to our analysis there was a potential of 277 pips, US500 53 points and BTC 192 points profit out of the following 10 events in May 2025. The potential performance in 2024 was 4,305 pips / ticks.
May 2025
US Jobless Claims (29 pips, US500 7 points / 1 May 2025)
DOE Natural Gas Storage Report (55 ticks / 1 May 2025)
US Employment Situation (Non-farm payrolls / NFP) (19 pips, US500 19 points, BTC 192 points / 2 May 2025)
US Jobless Claims (9 pips, US500 3 points / 8 May 2025)
USDA World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) (56 ticks / 12 May 2025)
US BLS Consumer Price Index (CPI) (3 pips, US500 14 points / 13 May 2025)
US BLS Producer Price Index (PPI), US Retail Sales, US Jobless Claims and Philly Fed Manufacturing (17 pips, US500 10 points / 15 May 2025)
DOE Natural Gas Storage Report (19 ticks / 15 May 2025)
DOE Petroleum Status Report (42 ticks / 21 May 2025)
US Jobless Claims (28 pips / 29 May 2025)
Total trading time would have been around 13 minutes! (preparation time not included)
You can click on each release for detailed information.
May 2025 Market Recap: High-Impact Economic Data and Trading Opportunities
Published: June 4, 2025
May 2025 was an eventful month for traders focused on macroeconomic data. With a series of high-volatility releases, instruments like USDJPY, US500, natural gas, crude oil, and agricultural futures experienced swift and significant moves. For news traders using low-latency machine-readable data feeds like Haawks G4A, these events translated into clear opportunities.
Key Market Reactions – Summary of May 2025 Events
| Date | Event | Instrument(s) | Movement | Latency Opportunity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1 | US Jobless Claims | USDJPY, US500 | 29 pips, 7 points (in 64s) | ⚡ High |
| May 1 | DOE Natural Gas Storage Report | Natural Gas | 55 ticks (in 42s) | ⚡ High |
| May 2 | US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) | USDJPY, US500, BTC | 19 pips, 19 points, 192 pts (in 92s) | ⚡⚡ Very High |
| May 8 | US Jobless Claims | USDJPY, US500 | 9 pips, 3 points (in 133s) | ⚡ Moderate |
| May 12 | USDA WASDE Report | Corn, Wheat, Soy | 56 ticks total | ⚡ High |
| May 13 | US CPI | USDJPY, US500 | 3 pips, 14 points (in 23s) | ⚡⚡ Very High |
| May 15 | PPI, Retail Sales, Jobless Claims, Philly Fed | USDJPY, US500 | 17 pips, 10 points (in 248s) | ⚡⚡ Very High |
| May 15 | DOE Natural Gas Storage Report | Natural Gas | 19 ticks (in 17s) | ⚡ High |
| May 21 | DOE Petroleum Status Report | Crude Oil | 42 ticks (in 87s) | ⚡ High |
| May 29 | US Jobless Claims | USDJPY, EURUSD | 28 pips total (in 18s) | ⚡⚡ Very High |
Event Analysis
1. Labor Market Volatility:
The US Jobless Claims data throughout the month showed signs of softening labor conditions, with May 29 recording the highest insured unemployment rate since 2021 (1.3%).
Initial claims spiked to 240,000, a clear signal that layoffs may be increasing across industries like manufacturing and retail.
2. Non-Farm Payrolls (May 2):
177,000 jobs added in April – slightly above the 12-month average.
Job growth centered in healthcare and transport, while federal employment continued to shrink.
US500 and BTC responded strongly, reflecting both cautious optimism and volatility in equity and crypto markets.
3. Inflation Watch:
CPI (May 13) rose 0.2% MoM, with shelter and energy as key drivers. Annual inflation eased to 2.3%, the lowest in four years.
PPI (May 15) dropped 0.5%, the largest decline since 2023, driven by reduced service prices. Core PPI still climbed 2.9% YoY.
Consumer demand remained strong with retail sales up 0.1% MoM and 5.2% YoY.
4. Energy Market Dynamics:
Natural gas and crude oil saw notable storage builds, keeping inventories slightly above 5-year averages.
Despite builds, natural gas moved 55 and 19 ticks on respective reports due to storage surprises.
Crude oil rose 42 ticks on May 21 amid refinery upticks and rising inventories.
5. Agriculture:
The WASDE report (May 12) highlighted record corn production and increased global competition.
Corn, wheat, and soybean futures moved 56 ticks in response.
Brazil and Russia continue dominating grain export markets, pressuring U.S. prices.
Monthly Trading Impact (as of May 30, 2025)
| Instrument | May 2025 Potential Pips/Ticks |
|---|---|
| USDJPY | 105 pips |
| US500 | 53 points |
| BTC | 192 points |
| Natural Gas | 74 ticks |
| Crude Oil | 42 ticks |
| Corn/Wheat/Soy | 56 ticks |
| Total YTD | 754 pips equivalent |
2024 Performance: 4,305 pips – strong benchmark for machine-readable news trading potential.
Conclusion: What Traders Should Watch
Next Jobs Report: June 6, 2025
Next CPI/PPI Releases: June 11–12, 2025
FOMC Rate Decision: June 18, 2025
With inflation cooling but not conquered, and labor data sending mixed signals, volatility is likely to remain elevated around economic releases. Traders leveraging low-latency data from Haawks G4A can stay ahead by reacting instantly to these market-moving events.
Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Start futures/forex/oil/grains news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, we offer one of the fastest machine-readable data feeds for US macro-economic and commodity data and macro-economic data from Norway, Sweden, Turkey, Switzerland and ECB interest rates and statement.
Please let us know your feedback and check out our G4A low latency data feed.
All data is machine readable and available via API access in Chicago, New York and London. Free trials.
