20 ticks potential profit in 37 seconds on 13 May 2026, analysis on futures forex fx low latency news trading US500 futures on US BLS Producer Price Index (PPI) data

According to our analysis US500 moved 5 points (20 ticks) on US BLS Producer Price Index (PPI) data on 13 May 2026.

US500 (5 points / 20 ticks)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

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April 2026 PPI: Wholesale Inflation Surges as Energy, Freight, and Trade Margins Jump

The April 2026 Producer Price Index report delivered a clear signal: price pressures at the producer level accelerated sharply.

The Producer Price Index for final demand rose 1.4% in April, seasonally adjusted, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. That followed increases of 0.7% in March and 0.6% in February, making April the largest monthly gain since March 2022.

On a year-over-year basis, final demand prices were up 6.0%, the largest 12-month increase since December 2022.

For businesses, consumers, and policymakers, the report suggests that inflation pressures are not just lingering; they may be broadening again across key parts of the economy.

Services Did Most of the Heavy Lifting

Nearly 60% of April’s increase in final demand prices came from services. The index for final demand services rose 1.2%, its largest monthly increase since March 2022.

A major driver was trade services, where margins received by wholesalers and retailers jumped 2.7%. Transportation and warehousing services also surged, rising 5.0% in the month.

Several categories contributed to the rise, including:

• Machinery and equipment wholesaling

• Truck transportation of freight

• Fuels and lubricants retailing

• Health, beauty, and optical goods retailing

• Chemicals and allied products wholesaling

• Legal services

Not every service category moved higher. Portfolio management prices fell 2.4%, while food retailing margins and metals, minerals, and ores wholesaling margins also declined.

Still, the services side of the report was notably strong, especially in areas tied to distribution, freight, and wholesale margins.

Goods Prices Also Rose Sharply

Final demand goods prices increased 2.0% in April after rising 1.9% in March.

Energy was the main story. Final demand energy prices jumped 7.8%, accounting for more than three-quarters of the overall goods increase.

Gasoline alone rose 15.6% and accounted for more than 40% of the April rise in final demand goods prices. Other energy-related increases included jet fuel, diesel fuel, and residual fuels.

There were also increases in fresh and dry vegetables and industrial chemicals.

One striking exception was chicken eggs, whose index dropped 49.7%. Nonferrous scrap and residential natural gas prices also declined.

Core Producer Inflation Picked Up Too

The index for final demand less foods, energy, and trade services rose 0.6% in April. That was the largest increase since October 2025.

Over the past 12 months, this core measure increased 4.4%, the largest year-over-year gain since February 2023.

That matters because this measure strips out some of the most volatile categories. A strong increase here suggests the April report was not only about energy swings. Underlying price pressure also strengthened.

Intermediate Demand Shows Pipeline Pressure

The report also showed strong increases earlier in the production chain.

Processed goods for intermediate demand rose 2.7% in April, the sixth straight monthly increase. Processed energy goods rose 7.8%, while processed materials excluding food and energy increased 1.5%.

Over the past year, processed goods for intermediate demand rose 9.4%, the largest 12-month increase since October 2022.

Unprocessed goods prices rose even faster, climbing 4.1% in April. The biggest driver was unprocessed energy materials, up 9.2%. Crude petroleum rose 11.3%, accounting for nearly three-quarters of the advance in unprocessed goods.

The 12-month increase for unprocessed goods reached 20.9%, the largest since September 2022.

These intermediate demand numbers suggest that cost pressures are building not only at the final stage but also deeper in the supply chain.

Freight and Transportation Costs Stand Out

Transportation was one of the clearest pressure points in the report.

Final demand transportation and warehousing services rose 5.0%, while transportation and warehousing services for intermediate demand jumped 3.7%.

Truck transportation of freight was especially important. It contributed to increases in both final demand services and intermediate demand services, with truck freight prices rising 8.1% in the intermediate demand category.

Higher freight costs can ripple through the economy because they affect the cost of moving raw materials, intermediate goods, and finished products. When transportation costs rise quickly, businesses may face pressure to raise prices or absorb lower margins.

Production Flow Data Point to Broad-Based Increases

The production flow measures also showed broad price gains across stages of production.

Stage 4 intermediate demand rose 0.9%, the largest increase since January 2023. Stage 3 rose 2.3%, stage 2 increased 2.8%, and stage 1 advanced 2.1%.

The strongest monthly increase came from stage 2 intermediate demand, where goods inputs climbed 5.1%.

Year-over-year increases were also notable:

• Stage 4 intermediate demand: 5.4%

• Stage 3 intermediate demand: 5.9%

• Stage 2 intermediate demand: 11.1%

• Stage 1 intermediate demand: 8.9%

The especially large increases in earlier stages suggest cost pressures could continue feeding into later stages if they persist.

What This Means

April’s PPI report was hot across several dimensions.

Energy was a major contributor, especially gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and crude petroleum. But the report was not limited to energy. Services prices, trade margins, freight costs, chemicals, and several wholesale categories also rose.

The rise in the core final demand measure adds to the significance of the report. When prices excluding food, energy, and trade services are rising at the fastest year-over-year pace in more than three years, it points to broader inflation pressure beneath the headline number.

For businesses, the report suggests higher input costs may be returning across transportation, energy, materials, and distribution channels. For consumers, the PPI does not directly measure retail prices, but producer cost increases can eventually flow through to consumer prices.

For policymakers, the April data complicates the inflation picture. A single month does not make a trend, but this report showed acceleration across headline PPI, core PPI, goods, services, and intermediate demand.

Bottom Line

The April 2026 Producer Price Index report showed a sharp acceleration in wholesale inflation. Final demand prices rose 1.4% for the month and 6.0% from a year earlier, both marking the strongest readings in years.

Energy was the biggest driver, but services, freight, trade margins, and intermediate goods also showed meaningful price pressure.

The next PPI report, covering May 2026, is scheduled for release on Thursday, June 11, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. ET.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ppi.nr0.htm

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US500 4 points potential profit in 31 seconds on 24 April 2026, analysis on futures forex fx low latency news trading US500 on Michigan Consumer Sentiment

According to our analysis US500 moved 4 points on University Michigan Consumer Sentiment / Inflation Expectations data on 24 April 2026.

US500 (4 points)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

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Consumer Confidence Slips Again in April 2026 as Inflation Fears Resurge

Consumer sentiment in the United States took another step downward in April 2026, signaling renewed unease about the economic outlook. According to the latest release from the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers, the Index of Consumer Sentiment fell to 49.8, down from 53.3 in March and below the 52.2 recorded a year earlier. This represents a 6.6% monthly decline and a 4.6% drop year-over-year, placing sentiment near levels last seen during the mid-2022 economic slowdown.

Broad-Based Decline in Confidence

The decline was not isolated to any single demographic. Sentiment weakened across political affiliations, income brackets, age groups, and education levels. This widespread downturn suggests a shared concern among consumers about the direction of the economy, rather than isolated pessimism.

The Current Economic Conditions Index also slipped, falling 5.9% from March and posting a steep 12.2% decline compared to April 2025. Meanwhile, the Index of Consumer Expectations dropped 7.0% month-over-month, though it remains slightly higher (+1.7%) than a year ago.

Economic Pressures and Global Influences

A key driver of declining sentiment appears to be worsening expectations for business conditions. Consumers are increasingly pessimistic about both short-term and long-term economic prospects. These expectations are now approaching levels seen a year ago, when trade tensions and tariff policies weighed heavily on outlooks.

Recent geopolitical developments have also played a role. A temporary cease-fire and modest easing in gasoline prices helped sentiment recover slightly toward the end of the month. However, ongoing tensions involving Iran continue to influence consumer perceptions, particularly through their impact on energy prices and broader inflation concerns.

Importantly, the data suggest that consumers are less responsive to geopolitical developments unless they directly affect supply chains or reduce price pressures—especially in energy markets.

Inflation Expectations Surge

Perhaps the most striking development in April’s report is the sharp rise in inflation expectations. Year-ahead inflation expectations jumped from 3.8% in March to 4.7% in April—the largest monthly increase since April 2025. This figure now sits well above the pre-pandemic range of 2.3% to 3.0%, highlighting growing concern among consumers about persistent price pressures.

Long-run inflation expectations also edged higher, rising to 3.5% after several months of stability around 3.2–3.3%. This marks the highest level since October 2025 and continues a gradual upward trend from the relatively lower ranges observed in 2019 and 2020.

What This Means Going Forward

The April data paints a picture of an increasingly cautious consumer base. While short-term fluctuations in energy prices and geopolitical developments may provide temporary relief, underlying concerns about inflation and economic stability remain firmly in place.

With inflation expectations climbing and confidence slipping, policymakers and businesses alike may need to prepare for a more restrained consumer environment in the months ahead. The next data release, scheduled for May 8, 2026, will provide further insight into whether this downward trend continues—or if stabilization is on the horizon.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Source: http://www.sca.isr.umich.edu

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XAUUSD 16 points, US500 31 points potential profit in 24 seconds on 6 March 2026, analysis on forex fx futures news trading XAUUSD (spot gold) and US500 on US Employment Situation (NFP)

According to our analysis XAUUSD (spot gold) moved 16 points and US500 moved 31 points on US Employment Situation (Non-farm payrolls / NFP) data on 6 March 2026.

XAUUSD (16 points)

US500 (31 points)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

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U.S. Jobs Report – February 2026: Payrolls Slip While Unemployment Holds Steady

The U.S. labor market showed signs of cooling in February 2026, according to the latest Employment Situation report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). While the unemployment rate remained relatively stable, total nonfarm payroll employment declined slightly, highlighting a labor market that is still resilient but facing pockets of weakness across certain industries.

Payroll Employment Declines Slightly

Total nonfarm payroll employment fell by 92,000 jobs in February, reversing part of January’s gain of 126,000 jobs. The drop was largely influenced by job losses in specific sectors, particularly health care, information, and federal government employment.

Despite the monthly decline, the broader labor market picture remains mixed rather than sharply negative. Job growth throughout 2025 had already slowed considerably, and February’s figures suggest a continuation of that gradual moderation.

Unemployment Rate Holds at 4.4%

The unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.4%, with approximately 7.6 million people unemployed in February. Across demographic groups—including adult men, adult women, teenagers, and major racial and ethnic categories—unemployment rates showed little change during the month.

However, one area of concern is long-term unemployment. The number of individuals unemployed for 27 weeks or longer reached 1.9 million, up from 1.5 million a year ago. Long-term unemployed workers now account for 25.3% of all unemployed people.

Labor Force Participation Remains Flat

Labor force participation and employment ratios also showed minimal movement:

• Labor force participation rate: 62.0%

• Employment-population ratio: 59.3%

Both measures have remained relatively stable over the past year. However, new population estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau affected the underlying data, particularly due to demographic shifts such as fewer men aged 25–54 and more women aged 65 and older—groups that historically participate in the workforce at different rates.

Sector Breakdown: Where Jobs Were Lost and Gained

Several industries experienced notable changes in February:

Health Care
Employment declined by 28,000 jobs, largely due to strike activity affecting physicians’ offices, which lost 37,000 jobs. Hospitals, however, added 12,000 positions.

Information Sector
The information industry continued its downward trend, shedding 11,000 jobs in February and averaging monthly losses over the past year.

Federal Government
Federal employment fell by 10,000 jobs. Since October 2024, federal employment has declined by 330,000 positions, representing an 11% drop.

Social Assistance
One of the few areas of consistent growth, social assistance added 9,000 jobs, primarily in individual and family services.

Transportation and Warehousing
Employment was mostly unchanged overall but saw losses in courier and messenger services, partially offset by gains in air transportation.

Wage Growth Continues

Despite softer employment numbers, wage growth remained solid.

• Average hourly earnings: $37.32 (up $0.15 in February)

• Year-over-year wage growth: 3.8%

Production and nonsupervisory employees saw earnings rise to $32.03 per hour, reflecting steady—though not accelerating—income growth for workers.

Workweek and Hours

The average workweek remained stable:

• All private employees: 34.3 hours

• Manufacturing: 40.1 hours (slightly lower)

• Overtime in manufacturing: 3.0 hours

Stable hours suggest that employers are maintaining current staffing levels rather than significantly expanding or cutting back.

Data Revisions

The BLS also revised previous job numbers:

• December 2025: Revised from +48,000 to –17,000

• January 2026: Revised from +130,000 to +126,000

These revisions mean employment for those two months combined is 69,000 lower than previously reported.

Population Data Adjustments

February’s report also incorporated updated population estimates based on the 2020 Census. These revisions affected measures like labor force participation but did not change the unemployment rate.

The updated data indicates:

• A decline in the number of men aged 25–54

• An increase in women aged 65 and older

• Changes in the racial composition of the population, including increases in Asian and multiracial populations

These demographic shifts slightly lowered overall labor force participation estimates.

What It Means for the Economy

February’s employment report paints a picture of a labor market that is stable but slowing. Unemployment remains low by historical standards, and wages continue to rise. However, job growth is weakening, certain industries are contracting, and long-term unemployment is creeping upward.

Economists will be watching closely to see whether February’s job losses represent temporary disruptions—such as strike activity—or the beginning of a more pronounced labor market slowdown.

The next Employment Situation report, covering March 2026, will be released on April 3, 2026.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

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16 pips, US500 12 points points potential profit in 31 seconds on 13 February 2026, analysis on futures forex fx low latency news trading USDJPY, EURUSD and US500 on US Consumer Price Index (CPI)

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved 16 pips and US500 moved 12 points on US BLS Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on 13 February 2026.

USDJPY (11 pips)

EURUSD (5 pips)

US500 (12 points)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

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Inflation Cools Further in January 2026 as Energy Prices Fall

The latest data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics show that inflation continued to moderate in January 2026, with overall price growth easing on both a monthly and annual basis.

Headline Inflation: Modest Monthly Increase

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) rose 0.2 percent in January (seasonally adjusted). Over the past 12 months, prices increased 2.4 percent, down from 2.7 percent in December.

This marks continued progress toward price stability, with year-over-year inflation now firmly in the mid-2 percent range.

What Drove January’s Increase?

Several categories contributed to the monthly increase:

• Shelter: +0.2%

• Food: +0.2%

• Core inflation (all items less food and energy): +0.3%

However, falling energy prices helped offset some of the upward pressure.

Energy Prices: A Key Relief Factor

Energy prices declined 1.5 percent in January, providing a notable offset to increases elsewhere.

• Gasoline: −3.2% (−7.5% over the past year)

• Electricity: −0.1% (but +6.3% over the past year)

• Natural gas: +1.0% (+9.8% over the past year)

Over the last 12 months, overall energy prices are down 0.1 percent, largely due to the steep annual decline in gasoline.

Food Prices: Gradual but Persistent Growth

Food prices increased 0.2 percent in January.

Grocery Prices (Food at Home): +0.2%

Five of six major grocery categories rose:

• Cereals and bakery products: +1.2%

• Dairy products: +0.8%

• Meats, poultry, fish, and eggs: +0.2%

• Fruits and vegetables: +0.1%

• Nonalcoholic beverages: +0.1%

On a 12-month basis, grocery prices are up 2.1 percent.

Dining Out (Food Away from Home): +0.1%

Restaurant prices rose more modestly in January but are still up 4.0 percent over the past year, with:

• Full service meals: +4.7%

• Limited service meals: +3.2%

Restaurant inflation continues to outpace grocery inflation.

Core Inflation: Services Still Firm

Core CPI (excluding food and energy) rose 0.3 percent in January and is up 2.5 percent year-over-year.

Key contributors:

Shelter

• +0.2% in January

• +3.0% over the past year

Owners’ equivalent rent and rent both rose 0.2% for the month.

Transportation Services

• +1.4% in January

• Airline fares surged 6.5% for the month.

Medical Care

• +0.3% in January

• +3.9% over the past year

• Hospital services: +0.9% in January

Used Cars

• −1.8% in January

• −2.0% over the past year

Vehicle prices continue to normalize after earlier volatility.

Big Picture: Inflation Is Cooling, But Not Gone

Here’s where inflation stands:

Category12-Month ChangeAll Items2.4%Core (less food & energy)2.5%Food2.9%Energy−0.1%Shelter3.0%

The overall trend shows:

• Energy prices helping moderate inflation.

• Core services (especially shelter and medical care) continuing to rise.

• Restaurant inflation remaining elevated.

• Goods prices (like used vehicles) generally softening.

Additional Notes

• The CPI index level now stands at 325.252 (1982–84 = 100).

• CPI-W (Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers) rose 2.2% year-over-year.

• The Chained CPI (C-CPI-U) increased 2.2% year-over-year.

• October and November 2025 data were unavailable due to the 2025 lapse in appropriations.

• Seasonal adjustment factors were revised, affecting data back five years.

What to Watch Next

The February 2026 CPI report will be released on March 11, 2026.

Markets and policymakers will be watching closely to see:

• Whether energy continues to ease pressure,

• If shelter inflation continues to moderate,

• And whether core services remain sticky.

For now, January’s data suggest inflation is gradually stabilizing, though certain categories—particularly services—remain areas of persistent upward pressure.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm

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60 pips potential profit in 31 seconds on 11 February 2026, analysis on forex fx futures news trading USDJPY and EURUSD on US Employment Situation (NFP)

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved 60 pips on US Employment Situation (Non-farm payrolls / NFP) data on 11 February 2026.

USDJPY (36 pips)

EURUSD (24 pips)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

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U.S. Jobs Report – January 2026

Payrolls Rise by 130,000; Unemployment Rate Steady at 4.3%

The latest Employment Situation report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics shows a modest start to 2026. In January, total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 130,000 jobs, while the unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%.

Here’s what the numbers reveal about the current state of the labor market.

The Big Picture

• 130,000 jobs added in January

• Unemployment rate: 4.3% (unchanged)

• Average hourly earnings: Up 0.4% to $37.17

• Year-over-year wage growth: 3.7%

• Labor force participation rate: 62.5% (little change)

While job growth continues, it remains moderate compared with historical expansion periods. The unemployment rate is slightly higher than a year ago (4.0% in January 2025), suggesting some cooling compared to last year.

Where Jobs Are Growing

Health Care Leads

Health care added 82,000 jobs in January:

• +50,000 in ambulatory health care services

• +18,000 in hospitals

• +13,000 in nursing and residential care facilities

Health care averaged 33,000 jobs per month in 2025, making January’s increase notably strong.

Social Assistance Expands

Employment in social assistance rose by 42,000 jobs, primarily in individual and family services, reflecting continued demand for community-based support services.

Construction Rebounds

Construction added 33,000 jobs, largely in nonresidential specialty trade contractors (+25,000). After being essentially flat in 2025, the sector showed renewed momentum in January.

Sectors Losing Jobs

Not all industries expanded:

• Federal government employment declined by 34,000, continuing a downward trend that began after a peak in October 2024. Since then, federal payrolls are down 327,000 jobs (−10.9%).

• Financial activities fell by 22,000 jobs, including losses in insurance carriers.

These declines partially offset gains in health care and construction.

Household Survey Highlights

The household survey shows a largely stable labor market:

• 7.4 million unemployed Americans

• Long-term unemployed (27+ weeks): 1.8 million

• Long-term unemployed account for 25% of all unemployed

Teen unemployment declined to 13.6%, while unemployment rates for adult men (3.8%), adult women (4.0%), and major racial and ethnic groups were largely unchanged.

The number of people working part time for economic reasons fell by 453,000 in January, though it remains higher than a year ago.

Wages and Hours

Wage growth remains steady:

• Average hourly earnings: $37.17

• Up 15 cents (0.4%) in January

• Up 3.7% over the past year

For production and nonsupervisory workers:

• $31.95 per hour

• Also up 0.4% over the month

The average workweek edged up to 34.3 hours, suggesting stable labor demand.

Revisions and Benchmarking

The January release includes annual benchmark revisions:

• March 2025 total nonfarm employment was revised down by 898,000 (seasonally adjusted).

• 2025 job growth was revised from +584,000 to +181,000.

These revisions reflect updated payroll data from unemployment insurance records and improved seasonal adjustments — a standard statistical process designed to enhance accuracy.

Weather Impact?

Major winter storms affected large parts of the country in January. According to the BLS, they had no discernible impact on national payroll employment or unemployment rates, though survey response rates were slightly below average.

What This Means

January’s report shows:

• Continued but moderate job growth

• Stable unemployment

• Solid wage gains

• Sector-specific strength in health care and services

• Ongoing weakness in federal government and financial activities

Overall, the labor market remains resilient but is expanding at a measured pace. The next Employment Situation report, due in early March, will provide further insight into whether this steady trend continues.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

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Start forex fx futures news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, one of the fastest news data feeds for US macro-economic and commodity data.

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5 pips, US500 13 points, BTC 177 points potential profit in 62 seconds on 13 January 2026, analysis on futures forex fx low latency news trading EURUSD, US500 and BTC on US CPI

According to our analysis EURUSD moved 5 pips, US500 moved 13 points and BTC moved 177 points on US BLS Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on 13 January 2026.

EURUSD (5 pips)

US500 (13 points)

BTC (177 points)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

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Inflation Ends 2025 Steady: What the December CPI Report Tells Us

The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics offers a clear snapshot of how inflation wrapped up 2025—and what it means for households heading into the new year.

Released on January 13, 2026, the report shows that inflation remains moderate but persistent, with price pressures still concentrated in essentials like housing, food, and certain services.

Headline Numbers at a Glance

• Monthly CPI (December 2025): +0.3% (seasonally adjusted)

• 12-month inflation rate: 2.7%, unchanged from November

• Core inflation (excluding food & energy): 2.6% year over year

These figures suggest inflation is no longer accelerating, but it also hasn’t fully cooled back to pre-pandemic norms.

Housing: Still the Biggest Driver

Shelter costs were once again the largest contributor to December’s increase:

• Shelter index: +0.4% in December

• 12-month shelter inflation: +3.2%

Rent and owners’ equivalent rent both rose, while lodging away from home jumped sharply (+2.9% for the month). Housing remains the stickiest part of inflation—and the hardest for consumers to avoid.

Food Prices Pick Up Speed

Food prices rose faster than overall inflation in December:

• Food (overall): +0.7% in December

• Food at home: +2.4% year over year

• Food away from home: +4.1% year over year

Notable details:

• Grocery staples like dairy, cereals, fruits, and vegetables all increased.

• Egg prices fell sharply (-8.2%), offering rare relief.

• Restaurant prices continue to climb, especially for full-service meals.

For many households, food remains one of the most noticeable inflation pressures.

Energy: Mixed Signals

Energy prices edged higher overall, but the details matter:

• Energy index: +0.3% in December, +2.3% over the year

• Gasoline: -0.5% in December, -3.4% year over year

• Electricity: +6.7% year over year

• Natural gas: +10.8% year over year

Drivers benefited from cheaper gasoline, but utility bills—especially heating—continued to rise.

Services Inflation Remains Firm

Core services showed broad-based increases:

• Medical care: +0.4% in December, +3.2% year over year

• Recreation: +1.2% in December (largest monthly jump on record)

• Airline fares: +5.2% in December

• Personal care & education: continued steady increases

On the flip side:

• Used cars and trucks: -1.1% in December

• Communication services: -1.9%

What This Means for 2026

As 2025 closed:

• Inflation appears stable, not surging—but not fully subdued.

• Housing and services remain the key inflation risks.

• Goods inflation (like vehicles and gasoline) continues to ease.

With the January 2026 CPI report scheduled for February 11, 2026, policymakers and consumers alike will be watching closely to see whether inflation finally drifts closer to the Federal Reserve’s long-term comfort zone.

Bottom Line

Inflation ended 2025 steady but uneven. While energy and goods offered some relief, everyday essentials—housing, food, and services—kept upward pressure on household budgets. The battle against inflation isn’t over, but it’s no longer spiraling out of control either.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm

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Start futures forex fx news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data, one of the fastest machine-readable news trading feed for US macro-economic and commodity data.

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12 pips, US500 6 points, BTC 678 points potential profit in 43 seconds on 18 December 2025, analysis on futures forex fx news trading EURUSD, US500 and BTC on US CPI and US Jobless Claims data

According to our analysis EURUSD moved 12 pips and US500 moved 6 points and BTC 678 points on US CPI and US Jobless Claims data on 18 December 2025.

EURUSD (12 points)

US500 (6 points)

BTC (678 points)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

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Unemployment Claims, CPI, and the Macro Signal Going into 2026
A more technical read on the December 18, 2025 UI & CPI releases

The December 18, 2025 data dump gives us a fairly coherent macro picture:

• Labor market: still tight by historical standards, with some sectoral and regional softening but no broad deterioration.

• Inflation: headline and core running in the high-2% range, drifting down from 3%, with housing and services still doing most of the work on the “sticky” side.

Below is a more policy-wonk breakdown of what these releases are actually saying.

1. Labor Market: Claims Still at “Expansion” Levels

1.1 Initial claims: well within “normal” range

• Initial claims (SA), week ending Dec 13:

  • 224k (-13k w/w from a revised 237k).

  • 4-week moving average: 217.5k (+0.5k).

In a labor force north of 165–170 million, claims in the low 200k range are typically associated with continuing expansion, not recession onset. This is consistent with past cycles where recessionary conditions usually show up with claims closer to 300k+ and/or a persistently rising 4-week average.

The November 29 print at 192k now looks like a bit of an outlier to the low side, and the December 6 spike to 237k looks like noise rather than the start of a trend.

1.2 Continued claims and IUR: mild firming, but no spike

• Insured unemployment (SA), week ending Dec 6:

  • 1.897 million (+67k w/w from a revised 1.83 million).

  • Insured unemployment rate (IUR): 1.2% (unchanged).

  • 4-week average: 1.902 million (-14k).

Insured unemployment is oscillating in a pretty narrow band: 1.83–1.95 million over much of 2025. The fact that the IUR is flat at 1.2% while levels move around is a reminder that this is mostly noise around a tight steady state, not a structural shift.

You also see divergence between SA and NSA:

• NSA insured unemployment: 1.88 million (week of Dec 6), down 75k w/w, rate down from 1.3% to 1.2%.

• Seasonal factors had expected a larger decline, so relative to expectations, the labor market is slightly weaker than the NSA drop alone suggests—but not dramatically.

1.3 State-level patterns: sectoral and regional pockets

Highest insured unemployment rates (week ending Nov 29):

• Washington 2.5%, New Jersey 2.4%, California 2.3%, Minnesota 2.2%, Massachusetts 2.1%, and Puerto Rico / Rhode Island 2.0%, with Alaska, Oregon 1.9% and Nevada, New York 1.8% close behind.

This is a familiar pattern: elevated IUR in states with:

• Higher exposure to tech / services / high-wage sectors (CA, WA, MA).

• Historically higher baseline UI recipiency rates and more generous programs (NJ, RI).

• Structural or cyclical sectoral exposure (e.g., construction and logistics on the West Coast).

For the week ending Dec 6, the largest NSA increases in initial claims were:

• CA +14,258

• IL +11,074

• NY +10,346

• TX +8,206

• GA +6,333

State comments attribute this largely to layoffs in construction, manufacturing, transportation/warehousing, and admin/support/waste management plus some health care and accommodation/food services.

Policy-relevant point: These look like sectoral adjustments, not broad-based, demand-driven layoffs. Construction and manufacturing are classic late-cycle cyclicals; seeing choppiness here doesn’t, on its own, scream “recession.”

1.4 Federal programs and total UI usage

On a not-seasonally adjusted basis:

• Total continued weeks claimed in all programs, week ending Nov 29:

  • 1,993,823 (up 262,500 w/w; versus 1,960,319 a year earlier).

• Extended Benefits (EB) is basically inactive:

  • Only 9 continued weeks claimed, and no state is triggered “on” EB.

• STC/workshare: ~22.7k continued weeks, slightly below the prior year’s 23.2k.

From a macro/financial-stability lens, the fact that EB is not triggered anywhere is a strong indicator that labor market weakness is not yet systemic.

2. Inflation: A Controlled Downshift toward 2–3%

2.1 Headline vs. core

For November 2025 (12-month changes):

• All items CPI-U: +2.7% (down from +3.0% for 12 months ending September).

• Core CPI (all items less food and energy): +2.6%.

From September to November (2-month SA changes, because October is missing):

• Headline CPI: +0.2% total over 2 months.

• Core CPI: +0.2% over the same period.

• Shelter: +0.2% over 2 months.

• Energy: +1.1%, food: +0.1% (both over 2 months).

If you roughly annualize that 2-month +0.2% move, you’re getting something in the ballpark of 1–2% annualized, i.e., softer than the 12-month headline figure. You don’t want to over-interpret two months (especially with a measurement gap), but the direction is clearly disinflationary.

2.2 Shutdown-related measurement caveat

BLS did not collect survey data for October 2025 due to a lapse in appropriations, and could only retroactively acquire most non-survey data.

Implications:

• Standard month-over-month time-series analysis is noisier than usual.

• The 2-month percent changes (September–November) are a workaround, not a model change.

• 12-month figures (e.g., +2.7% headline, +2.6% core) still serve as the main anchor for trend inflation.

For policy analysis, you basically discount very fine-grained inferences about October but still treat the broader trajectory as valid.

2.3 Decomposing headline inflation

Food (12-month changes):

• Food overall: +2.6%

  • Food at home: +1.9%

    • Meats/poultry/fish/eggs: +4.7%

    • Nonalcoholic beverages: +4.3%

    • Cereals/bakery: +1.9%

    • Fruits/vegetables: +0.1%

    • Dairy and related products: -1.6%

  • Food away from home: +3.7%

    • Full-service meals: +4.3%

    • Limited service: +3.0%

Interpretation:

• Grocery inflation is sub-3% and clustered mostly around protein and beverages.

• Restaurant inflation remains notably hotter than food-at-home, reflecting labor and overhead costs—a classic “services stickiness” story.

Energy (12-month changes):

• Energy overall: +4.2%

  • Gasoline: +0.9%

  • Fuel oil: +11.3%

  • Electricity: +6.9%

  • Utility (piped) gas: +9.1%

So energy is still a positive contributor, but the gasoline component is comparatively mild; the bigger story is household energy (utilities and fuel oil), both of which have direct cost-of-living and political salience.

Core components (12-month):

• Core CPI: +2.6%

  • Shelter: +3.0%

  • Services less energy: +3.0%

  • Used cars and trucks: +3.6%

  • Household furnishings/operations: +4.6%

  • Medical care services: +3.3%

This is a services-heavy inflation profile with goods not doing much damage except in a handful of categories (used vehicles, furnishings). The shelter component is still running above 2%, but at levels much closer to pre-pandemic “normal high” than the 6–8% rates seen in the earlier inflation spike.

3. Policy Implications

3.1 Monetary policy: This is what “orderly disinflation” looks like

From a central bank perspective, this combination is about as close as you get to “soft landing” conditions:

• Inflation has drifted down from 3.0% to 2.7%, with core at 2.6%, i.e., slightly above typical 2% targets but trending down.

• Labor market is still tight: low initial claims, low insured unemployment, no EB triggers, and only modest increases in continued claims.

Key angles for policymakers:

1. Output gap / NAIRU context

   • Claims and IUR at these levels are not consistent with a large positive unemployment gap. Labor markets still appear close to or slightly above most estimates of NAIRU.

   • Yet, inflation is not accelerating; it’s easing, which reinforces the idea that the post-pandemic inflation burst may have been driven more by supply shocks and sectoral imbalances than by persistent overheating alone.

2. Wage-price dynamics

   • With services inflation still around 3% and restaurant prices up 3–4% YoY, underlying wage growth is likely still above 2–2.5%, but not clearly incompatible with a medium-term glide path to 2%.

   • The Fed will view the moderation in goods inflation and slowing shelter inflation as evidence that pass-through from earlier cost shocks is fading.

3. Risk balance for rate decisions

   • Data like this tends to lower the urgency of further tightening.

   • It does not yet justify aggressive easing, given that core is still above target and services/shelter remain sticky.

   • Translation: it’s the kind of setup that supports a “hold for longer, cut cautiously later” stance rather than “hike again” or “slash now.”

3.2 Fiscal & labor-market policy: No crisis, but some micro hot spots

From a fiscal / labor-programs lens:

• No sign of a UI-driven emergency:

  • EB is off everywhere.

  • Total UI usage is up only modestly year-over-year.

• Sectoral and regional shocks are present:

  • Concentrated in construction, manufacturing, transportation/warehousing, and some services.

  • These are classic cases where targeted adjustment assistance, retraining, or infrastructure/green capex could absorb displaced workers rather than broad UI expansions.

The high IUR in states like WA, CA, NJ, MA, and OR suggests watching:

• Tech and high-skill services exposure.

• Local housing and cost-of-living issues that interact with labor mobility.

But nothing in the data screams “we’re about to blow through automatic stabilizers and need emergency discretionary intervention.”

3.3 Distributional and political economy angles

• Shelter and utilities are still rising faster than headline, which hits renters and lower-income households hardest.

• Food-at-home inflation is manageable, but restaurant prices remain elevated—visible to households and politically salient.

• The shutdown-driven data gaps will likely become part of the “governance risk” discussion: if recurring shutdowns degrade data quality, it complicates real-time macro management.

4. How to Read This Going Forward

If you’re thinking about these releases in a policy-wonk framework, a few takeaways:

• Trend inflation: High-2% and drifting down, not stuck in a 4–5% range.

• Labor market: Still tight, but with normal late-cycle churn concentrated in cyclical sectors.

• Policy stance: Data-dependent central bank can credibly stay on hold, lean dovish later if this disinflation trend persists, without immediate pressure to either re-tighten or pivot hard.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Source: https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf, https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm

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45 pips potential profit in 48 seconds on 10 December 2025, analysis on futures forex fx low latency news trading USDJPY and EURUSD on FOMC Interest Rate Decision data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved 45 pips on FOMC Interest Rate Decision and Projections data on 10 December 2025.

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The Fed Just Cut Rates: What the December 2025 Decision Really Means

On December 10, 2025, the Federal Reserve did something markets had been debating for months: it cut interest rates again.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) lowered the target range for the federal funds rate by 0.25 percentage point, to 3.50–3.75%, and released a fresh set of economic projections that stretch out to 2028. Alongside that, they gave us a pretty clear message:

Growth looks okay, inflation is still a bit too high, the labor market is softening, and the risks around the outlook are uncomfortably elevated.

Let’s unpack what was just announced, what the Fed is signaling about the future, and why the internal disagreements on the Committee really matter this time.

1. The Big Move: A 25bp Cut with Rising Concerns

The FOMC statement paints an economy that’s still growing, but more fragile:

• “Economic activity has been expanding at a moderate pace.”

• Job gains have slowed, and unemployment has edged up through September.

• Inflation has moved up since earlier in the year and “remains somewhat elevated.”

Despite that uptick in inflation, the Fed chose to ease policy:

“The Committee decided to lower the target range for the federal funds rate by 1/4 percentage point to 3-1/2 to 3-3/4 percent.”

Why cut when inflation is higher than earlier in the year?
Because the Fed is increasingly worried about the downside risks to employment. The statement explicitly notes that downside risks to employment have risen in recent months, and that’s a big shift in emphasis. The Fed’s dual mandate (maximum employment and price stability) is now facing pressure from both sides at once.

2. The New Forecasts: Slightly Stronger Growth, Gradual Disinflation

The Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) lays out the Fed participants’ median forecasts for the economy from 2025–2028.

Real GDP Growth (Q4/Q4)

Median forecast:

• 2025: 1.7%

• 2026: 2.3%

• 2027: 2.0%

• 2028: 1.9%

• Longer run: 1.8%

Compared with the September projections, growth is now expected to be a touch stronger in 2026 and 2027. The story: a soft-ish landing narrative is still alive—modest growth now, slightly firmer growth later, then easing back to the long-run trend.

Unemployment Rate (Q4 average)

Median forecast:

• 2025: 4.5%

• 2026: 4.4%

• 2027: 4.2%

• 2028: 4.2%

• Longer run: 4.2%

Unemployment is projected to stay above the pre-pandemic lows and settle around what the Fed views as its longer-run normal. Compared to September, changes are small, but the message is that the labor market is no longer “red hot”—it’s moving closer to equilibrium, but with heightened risk it could weaken more than desired.

Inflation: PCE and Core PCE

Headline PCE inflation (Q4/Q4):

• 2025: 2.9%

• 2026: 2.4%

• 2027: 2.1%

• 2028: 2.0%

• Longer run: 2.0%

Core PCE (excluding food & energy):

• 2025: 3.0%

• 2026: 2.5%

• 2027: 2.1%

• 2028: 2.0%

The Fed still expects a gradual glide path back to 2%, but:

• Inflation in 2025 is now seen just a bit lower than September for headline (2.9% vs 3.0) and core (3.0% vs 3.1),

• The journey back to 2% is long and uncertain, with inflation staying above target through 2026.

Put simply:

The Fed thinks inflation is heading in the right direction, but not fast enough to declare victory.

3. The Rate Path: Lower Now, but Still “Higher-for-Longer” Compared to Pre-2020

The “dot plot” (Figure 2 and the memo line in Table 1) shows where participants think the federal funds rate will be at year-end.

Median projected fed funds rate:

• 2025: 3.6%

• 2026: 3.4%

• 2027: 3.1%

• 2028: 3.1%

• Longer run: 3.0%

Key takeaways:

• The 2025 median is unchanged from September at 3.6%, even though the Fed has just cut to 3.5–3.75%. That implies only limited additional easing is currently envisioned for 2025.

• Beyond 2025, rates are expected to drift lower but not plunge.

• The longer-run neutral rate is still around 3.0%—a world where “normal” interest rates are structurally higher than the near-zero era of the 2010s.

So this is not a pivot back to ultra-easy money; it’s more like:

“We’re easing off the brakes, not slamming on the gas.”

4. Internal Divisions: The First Cut with Real Dissent

This meeting featured three dissents, underscoring real disagreement about what’s appropriate right now:

• Stephen I. Miran voted for a bigger cut, preferring a 1/2 percentage point reduction.

• Austan D. Goolsbee and Jeffrey R. Schmid voted against the cut, preferring no change in the target range this meeting.

So within the Committee you can see three camps:

1. Easers (Miran & likely some others quietly sympathetic): worried enough about growth and employment that they want faster easing.

2. “Mainstream” majority: sees a 25bp cut as the right compromise between still-elevated inflation and rising downside risks to jobs.

3. Hawks (Goolsbee, Schmid and possibly others): focused more on stubborn inflation and concerned that easing too soon could reignite price pressures.

When you see this kind of three-way split, it usually means the data are sending mixed signals and the margin for error looks uncomfortably small.

5. Balance Sheet & Reserves: Quiet but Important

One line in the statement may fly under the radar but matters for markets:

“The Committee judges that reserve balances have declined to ample levels and will initiate purchases of shorter-term Treasury securities as needed to maintain an ample supply of reserves on an ongoing basis.”

Translation:

• The Fed thinks the banking system is now at an “ample” level of reserves.

• To keep it that way, it’s prepared to buy short-term Treasuries as needed to avoid liquidity strains.

This is not a return to crisis-era quantitative easing; it’s more of a technical adjustment to stabilize the plumbing of the financial system. But for money markets and short-term funding, it’s a big signal of a steady, supportive backdrop.

6. Risks & Uncertainty: Elevated Across the Board

The SEP includes detailed information on how uncertain policymakers feel and which way they think risks are tilted.

A few notable patterns:

• Uncertainty is high for GDP, unemployment, and both measures of inflation.

  • Most participants rate uncertainty as “higher” than the historical average over the last 20 years.

• Risks to GDP growth are tilted to the downside.

  • More participants see a greater chance that growth comes in weaker rather than stronger.

• Risks to inflation (both headline and core) are still tilted to the upside.

  • That is, there’s a meaningful probability that inflation proves stickier than forecast.

Put together, the Fed’s message is:

They’re worried about slower growth and higher unemployment, but they still don’t fully trust that inflation is conquered.

That’s why you see a cautious rate cut, not a full-on easing cycle signal.

7. What This All Means Going Forward

Here’s the big-picture read of the December 2025 Fed package:

1. The Fed is now in a rate-cutting phase, but not a panicked one.

   • A 25bp cut with a still-elevated rate path is consistent with a fine-tuning approach.

2. Growth is expected to remain positive, not collapse.

   • Median GDP growth picks up somewhat in 2026, suggesting the Fed is trying to engineer a soft landing, not bracing for a deep recession.

3. Labor markets are cooling, and that’s making the Fed nervous.

   • The explicit mention that downside risks to employment have risen is notable and politically important under their dual mandate.

4. Inflation is still above target for a while.

   • The Fed isn’t ready to declare a clean victory on inflation, which limits how aggressive they’re willing to be on cuts.

5. Dissent shows real tension in the Committee.

   • One member wants faster easing, two wanted no easing at all. Future meetings could be lively, especially if incoming data swing unexpectedly.

8. How to Think About This as an Investor, Business, or Household

Without giving specific investment advice, here are some conceptual implications:

• Borrowing costs may drift lower, but not crash.
  Mortgage and corporate borrowing rates are likely to ease somewhat over time, but the Fed’s longer-run rate around 3% still implies a higher interest rate world than the pre-2020 decade.

• Growth assets vs. safe assets:
  A gentle rate-cutting path with still-positive growth tends to support risk assets, but the elevated uncertainty and inflation risks mean volatility isn’t going away.

• Jobs outlook:
  The Fed is very focused on the labor market. If unemployment rises more quickly than forecast, the Fed could cut faster than the current dots imply—but they will be looking over their shoulder at inflation the whole time.

Final Thought

This December 2025 meeting is not a dramatic pivot; it’s a delicate adjustment in an environment where both sides of the Fed’s mandate look fragile.

The Fed is saying:

• “We’re easing a bit to support the labor market.”

• “We still think inflation is too high.”

• “And honestly, we’re not very confident how this all plays out.”

In other words: welcome to the age of cautious cuts and uncomfortable uncertainty.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Source: https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20251210a.htm, https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomcprojtabl20251210.htm

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35 pips potential profit in 225 seconds on 25 September 2025, analysis on futures forex fx news trading USDJPY and EURUSD on US Jobless Claims data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved 35 pips on US Jobless Claims data on 25 September 2025.

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U.S. Jobless Claims Fall to 218,000 as Labor Market Holds Steady

The U.S. labor market showed continued resilience last week, with unemployment insurance claims trending lower and insured unemployment remaining stable, according to the latest report from the Department of Labor.

Key Highlights from the Week Ending September 20, 2025

• Initial jobless claims (seasonally adjusted) fell to 218,000, down 14,000 from the prior week’s revised level of 232,000.

• The four-week moving average eased to 237,500, its lowest in over a month.

• Insured unemployment—a measure of continued claims—stood at 1.93 million for the week ending September 13, virtually unchanged from the prior week.

• The insured unemployment rate held steady at 1.3%, reflecting a tight labor market.

On an unadjusted basis, actual initial claims totaled 180,611, a decline of 14,822 (–7.6%) from the previous week. Seasonal factors had expected only a modest dip, underscoring stronger-than-expected labor demand.

State-Level Trends

Some states saw notable swings in claims:

• Increases:

  • New York (+1,482) – layoffs in construction, healthcare, and professional services

  • South Carolina (+1,220) – no comment provided

• Decreases:

  • Texas (–4,917)

  • Connecticut (–4,540)

  • Michigan (–3,944), driven by fewer manufacturing layoffs

  • Illinois (–1,153)

  • California (–1,139)

The highest insured unemployment rates were recorded in New Jersey (2.4%), California (2.0%), Connecticut (2.0%), and Washington (2.0%).

Federal and Special Program Activity

• Claims filed by former federal civilian employees rose slightly to 635, while newly discharged veterans filed 420 claims.

• Continued weeks claimed under all programs for the week ending September 6 totaled 1.79 million, down from 1.83 million the prior week.

• No state triggered “on” the Extended Benefits program.

What It Means

With initial claims trending lower and insured unemployment stable, the labor market remains resilient despite pockets of weakness in certain industries and states. The steady insured unemployment rate at 1.3% indicates that while layoffs occur, most workers are finding jobs relatively quickly.

Barring major shocks, the labor market appears well-positioned heading into the final quarter of 2025.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Source: https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf

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16 pips potential profit in 11 seconds on 18 September 2025, analysis on futures forex fx news trading USDJPY and EURUSD on US Jobless Claims data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved 16 pips on US Jobless Claims data on 18 September 2025.

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EURUSD (7 points)

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U.S. Jobless Claims Fall Sharply, Signaling Steady Labor Market

The U.S. Department of Labor reported that new unemployment insurance claims fell sharply in the latest week, underscoring resilience in the labor market despite recent fluctuations.

For the week ending September 13, 2025, the number of seasonally adjusted initial claims was 231,000, a decline of 33,000 from the prior week’s revised total of 264,000. This marks the lowest level in several weeks and comes as a positive sign following recent increases.

The four-week moving average, which smooths out weekly volatility, slipped to 240,000, down by 750 from the previous week.

Insured Unemployment Stable at 1.3%

The number of people continuing to receive unemployment benefits—known as insured unemployment—stood at 1.92 million for the week ending September 6, down 7,000 from the previous week. The insured unemployment rate held steady at 1.3%, suggesting relatively stable conditions for workers who remain on benefits.

The four-week moving average of continued claims also eased slightly, falling to 1.93 million.

State-Level Highlights

The latest data showed mixed patterns across states:

• Largest increases in claims (week ending Sept. 6):

  • Texas (+15,346) — layoffs across multiple industries, including wholesale trade, health care, and manufacturing.

  • Michigan (+3,018) — layoffs in manufacturing.

  • Connecticut (+1,454).

• Largest decreases in claims:

  • New York (-3,623) — fewer layoffs in transportation, health care, and food services.

  • Tennessee (-2,994).

  • California (-1,702).

States with the highest insured unemployment rates included New Jersey (2.7%), Rhode Island (2.1%), California (2.0%), Massachusetts (2.0%), and Washington (2.0%).

A Look at Unadjusted Claims

On an unadjusted basis, initial claims totaled 194,478, down about 10,000 from the previous week and slightly above the 186,835 recorded a year earlier. Insured unemployment (unadjusted) was 1.75 million, down nearly 51,000 week over week.

What This Means

While claims can be volatile from week to week, the decline in new filings suggests that layoffs remain relatively low compared with historical norms. Continued claims are holding steady, signaling that most displaced workers are still finding jobs without long delays.

The data continue to paint a picture of a labor market that is cooling modestly but remains fundamentally strong. Analysts will be watching in the coming weeks to see if the dip in claims reflects a sustained trend or a temporary correction after the early-September spike.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Source: https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf

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