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57 pips potential profit in 46 seconds on 10 April 2024, analysis on futures forex fx low latency news trading USDJPY and EURUSD on US BLS CPI (Consumer Price Index) data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved 57 pips on US BLS CPI (Consumer Price Index) data on 10 April 2024.

USDJPY (25 pips)

EURUSD (32 pips)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

March 2024 Consumer Price Index Summary

The latest report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for March 2024 sheds light on current economic conditions, indicating both continuity and change in the inflation landscape. As consumers and analysts alike scrutinize these figures, it's crucial to unpack the nuances of the data to understand its implications for the economy, businesses, and everyday Americans.

CPI Overview for March 2024

In March 2024, the CPI for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) experienced a 0.4 percent increase on a seasonally adjusted basis, mirroring the rise observed in February. Looking at the bigger picture, the all items index escalated by 3.5 percent over the last 12 months before seasonal adjustment, marking a notable trend in inflationary pressures.

The primary drivers of the monthly inflation increase were the shelter and gasoline indexes, which collectively contributed to more than half of the overall rise in the index for all items. Specifically, the energy index saw a 1.1 percent uplift, while food prices edged up by 0.1 percent. Notably, the food at home index remained stagnant, but the food away from home index climbed by 0.3 percent.

Key Components and Sectoral Impacts

  • Shelter and Energy: The shelter index continued its upward trajectory, alongside a significant 1.1 percent increase in the energy index. Gasoline prices, in particular, rose by 1.7 percent, reflecting broader energy market trends.

  • Food Index: The marginal 0.1 percent rise in the food index, coupled with a stable food at home index, suggests moderate food price inflation. However, the food away from home index's 0.3 percent increase points to costlier dining out experiences.

  • Core Inflation: Excluding food and energy, the core CPI rose by 0.4 percent for the third consecutive month. This consistent growth in core inflation underscores persistent inflationary pressures beyond volatile food and energy prices.

Yearly Inflation Trends

The 12-month overview reveals a 3.5 percent rise in the all items index, accelerating from the 3.2 percent increase ending February. Core inflation, excluding food and energy, climbed by 3.8 percent over the past year, indicating sustained inflationary pressure. Energy and food indexes rose by 2.1 percent and 2.2 percent, respectively, highlighting varied inflation dynamics across sectors.

Looking Ahead

The CPI data for March 2024 illustrates ongoing inflationary pressures within the U.S. economy, with significant contributions from shelter, energy, and certain food categories. While some sectors like used cars and trucks saw price decreases, the general trend indicates that inflation remains a concern.

For consumers, this means budgeting for higher costs in housing, energy, and dining out. Businesses, particularly in the energy, food service, and insurance sectors, will need to navigate these inflationary pressures carefully, balancing cost increases with consumer affordability.

As we move forward, monitoring these trends will be crucial for policymakers, businesses, and consumers alike to make informed decisions in an evolving economic landscape. The next CPI report, scheduled for release in May 2024, will be eagerly anticipated for further insights into inflationary trends and their potential implications.

Source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm

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20 pips potential profit in 19 seconds on 12 March 2024, analysis on futures forex fx low latency news trading USDJPY and EURUSD on US BLS CPI (Consumer Price Index) data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved 20 pips on US BLS CPI (Consumer Price Index) data on 12 March 2024.

USDJPY (12 pips)

EURUSD (8 pips)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

Understanding the February 2024 Consumer Price Index Report: A Deep Dive

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for February 2024 was released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), marking an essential gauge for economists, policymakers, and consumers to understand the current economic climate and inflation trends. The CPI measures the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. Let's dive into the details of the February 2024 report to unpack what it means for the economy and individuals.

February 2024 CPI Highlights

In February 2024, the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) saw a seasonally adjusted increase of 0.4 percent, following a 0.3 percent rise in January. This incremental change points to a persistent upward pressure on prices across a broad array of goods and services. Over the past 12 months, the all items index has risen by 3.2 percent before seasonal adjustment, indicating a slight acceleration in inflationary pressures.

Key Contributors to the February Increase

Several key components contributed to the February rise in the CPI-U:

  • Shelter and Gasoline: The indexes for shelter and gasoline saw significant increases in February, together accounting for over sixty percent of the monthly rise in the all items index. This combination of higher housing and fuel costs can strain household budgets.

  • Energy: The energy index increased by 2.3 percent, with all its component indexes also on the rise, adding to the overall inflationary pressure.

  • Food: Interestingly, the food index remained unchanged in February, with both the food at home and food away from home indexes showing little to no growth. This stability in food prices offers a slight reprieve amidst the broader inflationary trends.

Annual Perspective

Looking at the annual figures, the all items index increased by 3.2 percent over the 12 months ending February 2024, a notch above the 3.1 percent increase for the year ending in January. Notably, the energy index decreased by 1.9 percent over this period, providing a mixed picture of the inflationary landscape.

Analyzing the Numbers: What This Means for You

The February 2024 CPI report underscores ongoing inflationary pressures within the U.S. economy. For consumers, the rise in shelter and gasoline prices could lead to higher living expenses, affecting budgets and spending habits. On the flip side, the stabilization in food prices, albeit temporary, offers some relief.

For policymakers, the report's insights into inflationary trends are crucial for shaping monetary policy and interest rate decisions. The data presents a balancing act between stimulating economic growth and curbing inflation to maintain price stability.

Looking Ahead

As we move forward into 2024, all eyes will be on the evolving economic indicators and their implications for inflation, consumer spending, and monetary policy. The Consumer Price Index, as a primary measure of inflation, will continue to play a pivotal role in these discussions. The next CPI report, scheduled for release in April 2024, will be eagerly awaited for further clues on the direction of the U.S. economy.

In summary, the February 2024 CPI report highlights the nuanced landscape of inflationary pressures facing the U.S. economy. While certain sectors like energy and shelter are driving price increases, the overall picture is complex, with stabilizing food prices providing a counterbalance. Understanding these dynamics is essential for navigating the economic challenges and opportunities that lie ahead.

Source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm

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51 pips potential profit in 27 seconds on 19 February 2024, analysis on futures forex fx news trading EURSEK first on Sweden Consumer Price Index (CPI) data

According to our analysis EURSEK moved 51 pips on Sweden Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on 19 February 2023.

EURSEK (51 pips)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

Understanding Sweden's January 2024 Inflation Dynamics

In the crisp winter month of January 2024, Sweden experienced a notable uptick in its inflation rate, which climbed to 5.4 percent, according to the Consumer Price Index (CPI). This marked a significant increase from the 4.4 percent inflation rate observed in December. This shift has drawn considerable attention from economists, policymakers, and the public alike, as it signals changes in the economic landscape that could have widespread implications.

The Details Behind the Numbers

The latest statistical news from Statistics Sweden, released on February 19, 2024, paints a comprehensive picture of the current inflationary trends. On a month-to-month basis, the CPI saw a slight decrease of 0.1 percent from December to January. However, when looking at the bigger picture, the annual inflation rate according to the CPIF (Consumer Price Index with a fixed interest rate) settled at 3.3 percent in January, revealing the nuanced dynamics at play in the Swedish economy.

Housing Costs: The Major Inflation Driver

A key factor contributing to the rise in the inflation rate is the increase in housing costs. Mikael Nordin, a statistician at Statistics Sweden, emphasized that housing continues to be the largest contributor to the CPI-driven inflation rate. This is a trend observed not just in Sweden but globally, as housing markets adjust to post-pandemic realities and changing interest rate environments.

Diving Deeper into the CPI Components

The CPI, which serves as a measure of the average price basket of goods and services purchased by households, increased to 412.74, with housing, electricity, and mortgage costs leading the charge. Notably, the interest rates for household mortgages played a significant role, contributing 2.3 percentage points to the annual inflation rate.

On the flip side, seasonal price decreases in clothing and air travel, along with a significant 11 percent drop in fuel prices, primarily due to lower diesel prices, helped to temper the overall inflation rate. This demonstrates the complex interplay of various factors that drive inflation, from global oil prices to local consumption patterns.

The CPIF and CPIF-XE Indices

The CPIF and CPIF-XE indices offer additional insights into the inflationary landscape. The CPIF-XE, which excludes volatile energy prices, posted a 4.4 percent inflation rate, down from 5.3 percent in December. This indicates that, excluding energy, the core inflationary pressures remain significant, though slightly alleviated compared to the end of the previous year.

The Broader Economic Implications

The inflation data for January 2024 provides a crucial snapshot of Sweden's economic health and the challenges it faces. Rising inflation can erode purchasing power and impact living standards, prompting the central bank to potentially adjust monetary policy to keep inflation in check. For households, the increase in mortgage costs and housing expenses highlights the need for careful financial planning and budgeting.

Looking Ahead

As we move further into 2024, it will be vital to monitor how Sweden's inflation trajectory evolves, especially in response to policy measures and global economic trends. The next publication from Statistics Sweden, due on March 14, 2024, will be eagerly awaited for further clues on the direction of the Swedish economy.

In the meantime, individuals and businesses alike must navigate the inflationary landscape with a keen eye on budgeting and financial planning, as the effects of inflation permeate through various sectors of the economy.

Source: https://www.scb.se/en/finding-statistics/statistics-by-subject-area/prices-and-consumption/consumer-price-index/consumer-price-index-cpi/pong/statistical-news/consumer-price-index-cpi-january-2024/

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58 pips and 222 points potential profit in 444 seconds on 14 November 2023, analysis on futures forex fx low latency news trading EURUSD, USDJPY and US30 on US BLS Consumer Price Index (CPI) data

According to our analysis EURUSD and USDJPY moved 58 pips and US30 moved 222 points on US BLS CPI (Consumer Price Index) data on 14 November 2023.

EURUSD (38 pips)

USDJPY (20 pips)

US30 (222 points)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) remained unchanged in October, following a 0.4 percent increase in September. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased by 3.2 percent before seasonal adjustment.

Components:

  • Shelter: The index for shelter continued its upward trend, compensating for a decline in the gasoline index, resulting in a stable seasonally adjusted index for the month.

  • Energy: The energy index fell by 2.5 percent in October, largely due to a significant decline in the gasoline index. The energy index decreased by 4.5 percent over the last 12 months.

  • Food: The food index increased by 0.3 percent, with the index for food at home rising by 0.3 percent and food away from home rising by 0.4 percent.

  • All Items Less Food and Energy: This index rose by 0.2 percent in October, driven by notable increases in rent, owners' equivalent rent, motor vehicle insurance, medical care, recreation, and personal care.

Inflation Rates:

  • All Items: The all items index rose by 3.2 percent for the 12 months ending October, a smaller increase than the 3.7-percent rise for the 12 months ending September.

  • All Items Less Food and Energy: This index rose by 4.0 percent over the last 12 months, its smallest 12-month change since September 2021.

  • Energy: The energy index decreased by 4.5 percent for the 12 months ending October.

Selected Categories:

  • Food at Home: The index rose by 2.1 percent over the last 12 months.

  • Food Away From Home: The index rose by 5.4 percent over the last year.

  • Energy Commodities: Notable decline of 6.2 percent over the last 12 months.

  • New Vehicles: An increase of 1.9 percent.

  • Used Cars and Trucks: A decrease of 7.1 percent.

Notable Changes:

  • Shelter: The shelter index played a significant role in the monthly increase in the index for all items less food and energy.

  • Medical Care: The medical care index rose by 0.3 percent in October, with increases in hospital services and prescription drugs.

  • Transportation Services: Experienced an increase of 9.2 percent over the month.

Market Reaction: In response to this CPI data, the financial markets exhibited specific movements:

  • EURUSD: Demonstrated an upward movement of 38 pips, reflecting a stronger Euro against the US Dollar.

  • USDJPY: Experienced a downward movement of 20 pips, indicating a weaker US Dollar against the Japanese Yen.

  • US30 (Dow Jones): Showed an upward movement of 222 points, suggesting positive sentiment in the stock market.

Outlook: The all items index rose by 3.2 percent over the last 12 months. The next CPI for November 2023 is scheduled to be released on December 12, 2023.

This comprehensive overview combines CPI data, market reactions, and potential economic implications, providing a well-rounded understanding of the economic landscape in October 2023.

Source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm

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39 pips potential profit in 118 seconds on 17 October 2023, analysis on futures forex fx news trading USDCAD on Canada Consumer Price Index (CPI) data

According to our analysis USDCAD moved 39 pips on Canada Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on 17 October 2023.

USDCAD (39 pips)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

In September 2023, Canada's Consumer Price Index (CPI) displayed a year-over-year increase of 3.8%, indicating a slight deceleration from the 4.0% gain observed in the previous month of August. This deceleration was influenced by lower prices in several key areas, including travel-related services, durable goods, and groceries.

Despite this moderation, there was an exception to the overall trend: gasoline prices. Gasoline prices accelerated their year-over-year increase in September, with a significant rise of 7.5%. This increase can be attributed to a base-year effect and a notable contrast to the previous month's modest gain of 0.8%.

As Canadian inflation showed signs of moderation, the USD/CAD exchange rate responded with a 39-pip rally. The pair, which represents the value of the US dollar against the Canadian dollar, gained momentum in response to the inflation data.

The 39-pip move in the USD/CAD exchange rate indicated a strengthening of the US dollar against the Canadian dollar. While Canada's inflation rate decelerated, the US dollar saw increased demand, likely influenced by shifting investor sentiment and economic data.

On a monthly basis, the CPI saw a 0.1% decrease in September, compared to a 0.4% gain in August. This monthly decrease was mainly driven by a significant drop in gasoline prices by 1.3% in September.

Grocery prices, while continuing to experience a deceleration in their price growth, remained elevated. In September, they increased by 5.8% year over year, following a 6.9% increase in August. The slowdown was mainly due to the base-year effects, as large monthly increases in grocery prices in September 2022 were no longer a part of the 12-month movements.

Some food products experienced a deceleration in price growth, including meat and dairy products, primarily due to base-year effects. However, fresh fruit, fish, bakery products, and edible fats and oils saw an increase in their year-over-year price growth in September compared to August.

Air transportation costs, which were down by 21.1% year over year, highlighted the notable decline in consumer spending on travel. The decline in air transportation costs coincided with an increase in flights offered by airlines over the previous 12 months.

Furthermore, durable goods, such as furniture and household appliances, experienced a deceleration in their price growth, rising at a slower pace of 0.4% year over year in September, compared to the 1.4% increase in August. This slowdown in price growth was influenced by improvements in inventory levels compared to the previous year.

On the contrary, prices for non-durable goods experienced an acceleration in price growth, with several categories, including fresh fruit, fish, bakery products, and edible fats and oils, seeing notable increases in their year-over-year price growth.

This data reflects the evolving trends in Canadian inflation, highlighting how various factors, including base-year effects and consumer behaviors, have influenced the overall rate of price growth. Despite this moderation, many goods, particularly in the grocery sector, continue to see elevated prices, which can impact the cost of living for Canadian consumers.

The 39-pip rally in the USD/CAD exchange rate underscores how financial markets respond to economic data releases, and it can serve as an example of the intricate relationship between economic indicators and currency movements. Investors and traders closely monitor such data to make informed decisions in the foreign exchange market.

For more detailed insights and to explore the Canadian Consumer Price Index, you can access the official data on the Statistics Canada website. Additionally, stay updated on the latest developments in the USD/CAD exchange rate for a deeper understanding of the currency market dynamics.

Source: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/daily-quotidien/231017/dq231017a-eng.htm

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154 pips potential profit in 96 seconds on 13 October 2023, analysis on futures forex fx news trading EURSEK first on Sweden Consumer Price Index (CPI) data

According to our analysis EURSEK moved 154 pips on Sweden Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on 13 October 2023.

EURSEK (154 pips)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

Summary of CPI Report - September 2023

In September 2023, Sweden experienced a notable shift in its Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Consumer Price Index with a fixed interest rate (CPIF) data. Here are the key takeaways from the report:

  1. Inflation Rate Drop: The inflation rate, as per CPI, stood at 6.5 percent in September, a noticeable decline from the 7.5 percent recorded in August. This decrease reflects a potentially more stable pricing environment.

  2. Monthly Increase: On a month-to-month basis, the CPI rose by 0.5 percent, with rising prices in various categories contributing to this upturn.

  3. CPIF Figure: The CPIF, which eliminates the direct effects of monetary policy changes, posted a 12-month inflation rate of 4.0 percent in September, indicating a more stable rate compared to CPI.

  4. Electricity Price Impact: One of the significant factors influencing inflation was a substantial 45.3 percent decrease in electricity prices compared to the previous year, negatively affecting the inflation rate.

  5. Price Shifts: Several sectors experienced notable price changes. Notably, clothing prices increased by 4.9 percent, aligning with seasonal trends. Additionally, interest expenses for household mortgages, furniture, fuel, and recreation and culture contributed to the overall rise in prices.

  6. Annual Variations: The report emphasized that annual changes played a crucial role in Sweden's inflation. Higher interest expenses on household mortgages, increased prices in various consumer goods and services, and positive contributions from the food and non-alcoholic beverages sector all played a role.

  7. Measures of Inflation: The report highlighted various measures of inflation, including the CPIF, which aligns with the Riksbank's inflation target, and the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), used within the EU for international comparisons.

This CPI report for September 2023 provides a snapshot of Sweden's evolving inflation landscape. The reduction in the inflation rate indicates potential stability, offering insights for both consumers and policymakers to navigate the economic climate.

Source: https://www.scb.se/en/finding-statistics/statistics-by-subject-area/prices-and-consumption/consumer-price-index/consumer-price-index-cpi/pong/statistical-news/consumer-price-index-cpi-september-2023/

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11 pips potential profit in 9 seconds on 12 October 2023, analysis on futures forex fx low latency news trading EURUSD on US BLS CPI (Consumer Price Index) data

According to our analysis EURUSD moved 11 pips on US BLS CPI (Consumer Price Index) data on 12 October 2023.

EURUSD (11 pips)

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Consumer Price Index (CPI) Summary - September 2023

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased by 0.4 percent in September, following a 0.6 percent rise in August. Over the past 12 months, the all items index saw a 3.7 percent increase before seasonal adjustments.

The largest contributor to the monthly increase in all items was the shelter index, accounting for over half of the rise. The gasoline index also significantly contributed to the monthly increase. While energy component indexes showed mixed results in September, the overall energy index increased by 1.5 percent during the month. The food index rose by 0.2 percent, consistent with the previous two months. Food at home increased by 0.1 percent, while food away from home rose by 0.4 percent.

Excluding food and energy, the all items index increased by 0.3 percent in September, matching the August increase. Several indexes recorded increases, including rent, owners' equivalent rent, lodging away from home, motor vehicle insurance, recreation, personal care, and new vehicles. On the other hand, indexes for used cars and trucks, as well as apparel, saw decreases over the month.

Over the 12 months ending in September, the all items index increased by 3.7 percent, the same rate as in August. However, the all items less food and energy index increased by 4.1 percent over the last year. The energy index decreased by 0.5 percent for the 12 months ending in September, while the food index increased by 3.7 percent over the same period.

This CPI report aligns with a forecasted month-over-month increase of 0.3 percent and a year-over-year increase of 3.7 percent. The data reflects changing consumer prices and provides insights into inflationary trends.

Source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm

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21 pips potential profit in 40 seconds on 13 September 2023, analysis on futures forex fx low latency news trading EURUSD and USDJPY on US BLS CPI (Consumer Price Index) data

According to our analysis EURUSD and USDJPY moved 21 pips on US BLS CPI (Consumer Price Index) data on 13 September 2023.

EURUSD (12 pips)

USDJPY (9 pips)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

On September 13, 2023, the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released data related to the Consumer Price Index (CPI). In this release, both Core CPI (excluding food and energy) and CPI Year-over-Year (YoY) exceeded market expectations by 0.1 percentage points. This data suggested a notable increase in inflationary pressures within the United States.

Market participants responded to this stronger-than-anticipated CPI data by favoring the United States Dollar (USD) in forex trading. This shift in sentiment resulted in the Euro/USD (EUR/USD) currency pair depreciating, while the USD/Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) currency pair appreciated. The rationale behind this movement was rooted in expectations of the Federal Reserve adopting a potentially more stringent monetary policy to combat inflationary pressures.

Furthermore, the CME FedWatch tool, which gauges market expectations regarding Federal Reserve actions, displayed a remarkable 97% probability that the Federal Funds Rate would remain unaltered during the Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting scheduled for September 20. This high probability reflected a strong consensus among market participants that the Federal Reserve would maintain the current target range for the Federal Funds Rate without implementing any adjustments.

In summary, the CPI data release prompted forex market reactions wherein the USD gained strength against the EUR and JPY due to expectations of a stable interest rate policy by the Federal Reserve. Additionally, the market's high level of confidence in the status quo of monetary policy was reaffirmed by the CME FedWatch tool's 97% probability of no rate changes during the forthcoming Federal Reserve meeting on September 20.

Source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm

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23 pips potential profit in 64 seconds on 30 August 2023, analysis on futures forex fx low latency news trading USDJPY and EURUSD on US GDP (Gross Domestic Product) data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved 23 pips on US GDP (Gross Domestic Product) data on 30 August 2023.

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USDJPY (14 pips)

EURUSD (9 pips)

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39 pips potential profit in 23 seconds on 10 August 2023, analysis on futures forex fx low latency news trading USDJPY and EURUSD on US Jobless Claims and US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved 39 pips on US Jobless Claims and US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on 10 August 2023.

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USDJPY (20 pips)

EURUSD (19 pips)

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