50 ticks potential profit in 46 seconds on 28 December 2023, analysis on futures forex fx low latency news trading crude oil on DOE Petroleum Status Report data

According to our analysis crude oil moved 50 ticks on DOE Petroleum Status Report data on 28 December 2023.

Light sweet crude oil (25 ticks)

Brent crude oil (25 ticks)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

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The summary of the Weekly Petroleum Data for the week ending December 22, 2023, presents several key points regarding the United States' petroleum industry:

1. Crude Oil Refinery Inputs and Capacity:

   • U.S. crude oil refinery inputs averaged 16.6 million barrels per day, an increase of 109 thousand barrels per day compared to the previous week.

   • Refineries operated at 93.3% of their operable capacity.

2. Production of Gasoline and Distillate Fuel:

   • Gasoline production increased, averaging 10.0 million barrels per day.

   • Distillate fuel production also increased, averaging 5.1 million barrels per day.

3. Crude Oil and Petroleum Product Imports:

   • U.S. crude oil imports averaged 6.3 million barrels per day, a decrease of 415 thousand barrels per day from the previous week.

   • Over the past four weeks, crude oil imports averaged about 6.7 million barrels per day, 8.2% higher than the same period last year.

   • Motor gasoline imports averaged 521 thousand barrels per day, and distillate fuel imports averaged 238 thousand barrels per day.

4. Inventory Levels:

   • U.S. commercial crude oil inventories (excluding Strategic Petroleum Reserve) decreased by 6.9 million barrels from the previous week.

   • At 436.6 million barrels, inventories are approximately 1% below the five-year average for this time of year.

   • Motor gasoline inventories decreased by 0.6 million barrels and are around 2% below the five-year average.

   • Distillate fuel inventories increased by 0.8 million barrels but are about 9% below the five-year average.

   • Propane/propylene inventories decreased by 3.7 million barrels, yet they are 13% above the five-year average.

   • Total commercial petroleum inventories decreased by 17.3 million barrels.

5. Product Supply and Demand:

   • Total products supplied over the last four weeks averaged 20.7 million barrels a day, down by 0.5% from the same period last year.

   • Motor gasoline product supplied averaged 8.8 million barrels a day, up by 1.6% from the same period last year.

   • Distillate fuel product supplied averaged 3.8 million barrels a day, up by 0.8% from last year.

   • Jet fuel product supplied increased

Source: https://ir.eia.gov/wpsr/wpsrsummary.pdf

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38 pips potential profit in 80 seconds on 22 December 2023, analysis on futures forex fx news trading USDJPY and EURUSD on US BEA Personal Income and Outlays and US Durable Goods Orders data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved 38 pips on US BEA Personal Income and Outlays and US Durable Goods Orders data on 22 December 2023.

USDJPY (26 pips)

EURUSD (12 pips)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

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Analyzing the Economic Pulse: Insights from BEA and Census Bureau Reports, November 2023

Introduction

As we approach the end of 2023, recent releases from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the U.S. Census Bureau offer valuable insights into the current state of the U.S. economy. The BEA's report on Personal Income and Outlays for November 2023 and the Census Bureau's report on Durable Goods Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders provide a comprehensive picture of economic trends, consumer behavior, and manufacturing health. Let's dive into the details.

BEA Report: A Closer Look at Personal Income and Spending

Income and Expenditures on the Rise

The BEA report highlights a modest increase in personal income, up by $81.6 billion (0.4%) in November. This uptick reflects growth in compensation and income receipts on assets. Disposable Personal Income (DPI) also rose by $71.9 billion (0.4%), indicating more money in the pockets of consumers.

Consumer Spending Patterns

Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) increased by $46.7 billion (0.2%). This growth, however, is nuanced. There was a noticeable shift in consumer spending, with a significant increase in services, particularly in housing, utilities, and food services. Conversely, spending on goods, especially gasoline and other energy goods, saw a decline.

The Saving Scenario

An intriguing aspect of the report is the personal saving rate, standing at 4.1% with a total personal saving of $839.8 billion. This figure reflects how consumers are balancing between spending and saving in the current economic landscape.

Census Bureau Report: Durable Goods Orders Indicate Manufacturing Health

A Surge in Durable Goods Orders

The Census Bureau's report brought positive news from the manufacturing sector. New orders for manufactured durable goods saw a substantial increase of $15.1 billion or 5.4% to $295.4 billion, signaling robust manufacturing activity.

Sector-Specific Trends

A significant contributor to this increase was the transportation equipment sector, soaring by $14.3 billion or 15.3% to $107.8 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders still saw a rise of 0.5%, indicating broad-based growth across the sector.

Implications for the Economy

The increase in durable goods orders, particularly excluding defense, which rose by 6.5%, suggests a growing demand in the civilian sector and potential future economic expansion.

Conclusion: Interpreting the Economic Signals

The November 2023 reports from the BEA and the Census Bureau paint a picture of an economy experiencing gradual growth in personal income and consumer spending, along with a healthy manufacturing sector. The rise in service spending and durable goods orders indicates consumer confidence and a resilient economy. However, the shift in spending patterns and the modest increase in the personal saving rate also suggest a degree of caution among consumers. As we move into 2024, these trends will be crucial for policymakers, businesses, and consumers to watch.

Source: https://www.bea.gov/news/2023/personal-income-and-outlays-november-2023, https://www.census.gov/manufacturing/m3/adv/current/index.html

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52 pips potential profit in 3 seconds on 21 December 2023, analysis on futures forex fx low latency news trading USDJPY and EURUSD on US Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved 52 pips on US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data on 21 December 2023.

USDJPY (39 pips)

EURUSD (13 pips)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

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The third estimate of the U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the third quarter of 2023, released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, reveals several key economic trends:

1. Real GDP Growth: There was a 4.9% annual increase in real GDP, slightly lower than the previously estimated 5.2%. This revision mainly reflects a decrease in consumer spending.

2. Current-dollar GDP: Increased by 8.3%, reaching $27.61 trillion, with a minor downward revision from the prior estimate.

3. GDP by Industry: Growth was seen across various sectors, with private goods-producing industries rising 10.2%, private services-producing industries 4.1%, and government 2.0%. Fourteen out of 22 industry groups contributed to this growth.

4. Inflation Indicators: The price index for gross domestic purchases went up by 2.9%, while the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index increased by 2.6%. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index rose by 2.0%.

5. Personal Income and Savings: There was a notable increase in current-dollar personal income and a 2.9% rise in disposable personal income. The personal saving rate was revised upwards to 4.2%.

6. Corporate Profits: Profits from current production rose by $108.7 billion, with increases in both financial and nonfinancial corporate sectors.

This report provides a comprehensive view of the U.S. economy's performance, indicating sustained growth with adjustments in consumer spending and corporate profits.

Source: https://www.bea.gov/news/2023/gross-domestic-product-third-estimate-corporate-profits-revised-estimate-and-gdp

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907 pips potential profit in 99 seconds on 14 December 2023, analysis on forex fx news trading EURNOK first on Norway interest rate decision data

According to our analysis EURNOK moved 907 pips on Norway interest rate decision (Norges Bank) data on 14 December 2023.

CORRECTION (02/01/2024)

EURNOK (907 pips)

EURNOK (1142 pips)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

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Norges Bank Raises Policy Rate: Balancing Act in a Cooling Economy

Introduction: In a move to address persistent inflationary pressures, Norges Bank's Monetary Policy and Financial Stability Committee decided to raise the policy rate from 4.25% to 4.5% at its meeting on December 13, 2023. This decision reflects a delicate balancing act, considering the ongoing economic cooling and the need to rein in high inflation. Let's delve into the key factors influencing this rate hike and its potential implications.

Inflationary Concerns: The primary driver behind the rate increase is the concern over inflation. Despite the economy experiencing a slowdown, inflation remains stubbornly above the 2% target. The Committee aims to prevent a prolonged period of high inflation, which could have adverse effects on the economy and impact low-income groups disproportionately.

Economic Overview: The Norwegian economy is navigating through a period of cooling, with household consumption decreasing and certain sectors, such as retail trade and construction, facing challenges. Employment remains high, but the labor market is showing signs of loosening, contributing to a cautious approach in the decision-making process.

Global Factors: Internationally, inflation is on a downward trajectory, and central banks worldwide are signaling a shift towards accommodative monetary policies. This global context influences Norges Bank's decision, aligning with a broader trend of central banks adjusting to changing economic conditions.

Challenges of the Krone Depreciation: The depreciation of the krone is a cause for concern. While it helps improve manufacturing profitability, it simultaneously contributes to higher imported goods inflation. This presents a challenge for the central bank in its efforts to curb overall inflation and maintain stability in the currency.

Policy Trade-offs: The rate decision underscores the challenging trade-offs facing policymakers. Striking a balance between preventing high inflation and avoiding excessive tightening to prevent economic contraction is a delicate task. The Committee acknowledges the need for a tight monetary policy stance but emphasizes the importance of avoiding over-tightening that could hinder economic growth.

Forward Guidance: Looking ahead, the Committee provides forward guidance indicating that the policy rate is likely to be maintained at 4.5% for some time. However, there is an expectation of a gradual decrease in the later part of 2024, depending on the evolving economic conditions. The approach is cautious, with flexibility to adjust the policy rate based on uncertainties in the economic outlook.

Conclusion: Norges Bank's decision to raise the policy rate reflects a nuanced response to the economic challenges at hand. As the economy experiences a cooling period, the central bank aims to balance the risks of inflation against the potential negative impacts of excessive tightening. The forward guidance provides a roadmap for the future, emphasizing adaptability to changing economic dynamics. As we move forward, monitoring how these decisions play out in the broader economic landscape will be crucial for businesses, investors, and households alike.

Source: https://www.norges-bank.no/en/topics/Monetary-policy/Monetary-policy-meetings/2023/december-2023

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67 pips and 104 points potential profit in 199 seconds on 13 December 2023, analysis on futures forex fx low latency news trading USDJPY, EURUSD and US30 on FOMC Interest Rate Decision data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved 67 pips and US30 104 points on FOMC Interest Rate Decision and Projections data on 13 December 2023.

USDJPY (37 pips)

EURUSD (30 pips)

US30 (104 points)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

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FOMC Projections - December 13, 2023

Summary of Economic Projections:

Real GDP Growth:

• 2023:

  • December projection: Median 2.6%

  • September projection: Median 2.1%

• 2024:

  • December projection: Median 1.4%

  • September projection: Median 1.5%

Unemployment Rate:

• 2023:

  • December projection: Median 3.8%

  • September projection: Median 3.8%

• 2024:

  • December projection: Median 4.1%

  • September projection: Median 4.1%

PCE Inflation:

• 2023:

  • December projection: Median 2.8%

  • September projection: Median 3.3%

• 2024:

  • December projection: Median 2.4%

  • September projection: Median 2.5%

Core PCE Inflation:

• 2023:

  • December projection: Median 3.2%

  • September projection: Median 3.7%

• 2024:

  • December projection: Median 2.4%

  • September projection: Median 2.6%

Federal Funds Rate (Projected Appropriate Policy Path):

• 2023:

  • December projection: Median 5.4%, Range 5.4–5.4%.

  • September projection: Median 5.6%, Range 5.4–5.6%.

• 2024:

  • December projection: Median 4.6%, Range 4.4–4.9%.

  • September projection: Median 5.1%, Range 4.6–5.4%.

• 2025:

  • December projection: Median 3.6%, Range 3.1–3.9%.

  • September projection: Median 3.9%, Range 3.4–4.9%.

• 2026:

  • December projection: Median 2.9%, Range 2.5–3.1%.

  • September projection: Median 2.9%, Range 2.5–4.1%.

• Longer Run:

  • December projection: Median 2.5%, Range 2.4–3.8%.

  • September projection: Median 2.5%, Range 2.4–3.8%.

Comparison with September Projections:

• GDP growth projections for 2023 have increased from 2.1% to 2.6%.

• Unemployment rate projections for 2023 remain at 3.8%, while projections for 2024 have increased slightly.

• PCE inflation projections for 2023 have decreased from 3.3% to 2.8%.

• Core PCE inflation projections have decreased across all years.

• The projections for the federal funds rate have generally decreased for each year from 2023 to the longer run.

• The median projections for 2023 and 2024 are slightly lower in December compared to September.

• The ranges for 2023 and 2024 are narrower in December, indicating a bit more consensus among participants.

• The longer-run median and range are consistent between December and September.

Summary of the FOMC Statement - December 13, 2023:

• Economic activity has slowed from its strong pace in Q3.

• Job gains have moderated, but the unemployment rate remains low.

• Inflation has eased over the past year but remains elevated.

• The U.S. banking system is sound, but tighter financial conditions may impact economic activity, hiring, and inflation.

• The federal funds rate target range is maintained at 5-1/4 to 5-1/2 percent.

• The Committee remains attentive to inflation risks and committed to returning inflation to its 2 percent objective.

• The Committee will assess information for future policy decisions, considering the cumulative tightening of monetary policy and economic developments.

• The Committee will continue reducing its holdings of Treasury securities and agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities.

• Voting for the monetary policy action includes Powell, Williams, Barr, Bowman, Cook, Goolsbee, Harker, Jefferson, Kashkari, Kugler, Logan, and Waller.

Source: https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20231213a.htm, https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomcprojtabl20231213.htm

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47 pips potential profit in 45 seconds on 8 December 2023, analysis on futures forex fx low latency news trading USDJPY and EURUSD on University Michigan Consumer Sentiment / Inflation Expectations

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved 47 pips on University Michigan Consumer Sentiment / Inflation Expectations data on 8 December 2023.

USDJPY (30 pips)

EURUSD (17 pips)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

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In December 2023, consumer sentiment in the United States experienced a substantial rebound, with a 13.2% increase from the previous month and a notable 16.1% improvement compared to December 2022. This surge, as reflected in the Index of Consumer Sentiment, marks a recovery from declines observed over the past four months. The Current Economic Conditions index also rose by 8.3% month-to-month and exhibited a remarkable 24.2% improvement compared to the same period last year. Similarly, the Index of Consumer Expectations increased by 16.9% compared to November 2023 and showed a 10.7% improvement year-over-year.

The positive shift in sentiment is attributed to improvements in the expected trajectory of inflation. Year-ahead inflation expectations dropped from 4.5% to 3.1%, reaching the lowest level since March 2021. Long-run inflation expectations also decreased from 3.2% to 2.8%, matching the second-lowest reading since July 2021. Despite these declines, long-run inflation expectations remain elevated relative to pre-pandemic levels.

All five components of the consumer sentiment index rose, with significant surges observed in the short and long-run outlook for business conditions. The improved sentiment was widespread, cutting across various demographics, including age, income, education, geography, and political identification.

Approximately 14% of consumers spontaneously mentioned the potential impact of next year's elections, and their sentiment appeared to incorporate expectations favorable to the economy. The next data release is scheduled for Friday, December 22, 2023, for the final December data, providing further insights into the evolving economic landscape.

Source: http://www.sca.isr.umich.edu

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35 pips potential profit in 61 seconds on 8 December 2023, analysis on forex fx futures news trading USDJPY and EURUSD on US Employment Situation (Non-farm payrolls/NFP) data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved around 35 pips on US Employment Situation (Non-farm payrolls / NFP) data on 8 December 2023.

USDJPY (23 pips)

EURUSD (12 pips)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

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The Employment Situation Summary for November 2023, released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), provides key insights into the labor market. Here are the highlights:

Household Survey Data:

1. Unemployment Rate: The unemployment rate decreased to 3.7 percent, with 199,000 new jobs added in November.

2. Demographic Unemployment Rates:

   • Teenagers: 11.4 percent (down in November).

   • Adult men: 3.7 percent.

   • Adult women: 3.1 percent.

   • Whites: 3.3 percent.

   • Blacks: 5.8 percent.

   • Asians: 3.5 percent.

   • Hispanics: 4.6 percent.

3. Long-Term Unemployment: The number of long-term unemployed (jobless for 27 weeks or more) decreased to 1.2 million, accounting for 18.3 percent of all unemployed persons.

4. Labor Force Participation: The employment-population ratio increased to 60.5 percent. The labor force participation rate was little changed at 62.8 percent.

5. Part-Time Employment: The number of persons employed part-time for economic reasons decreased by 295,000 to 4.0 million in November.

6. Persons Not in the Labor Force: The number of persons not in the labor force who wanted a job was 5.3 million, little different from the prior month.

Establishment Survey Data:

1. Nonfarm Payroll Employment: Increased by 199,000 in November, with job gains in health care, government, and manufacturing. Retail trade employment declined.

2. Industry-Specific Employment:

   • Health care: +77,000 jobs.

   • Government: +49,000 jobs.

   • Manufacturing: +28,000 jobs (reflecting the return of workers from a strike).

   • Retail trade: -38,000 jobs.

   • Leisure and hospitality: +40,000 jobs.

   • Social assistance: +16,000 jobs.

   • Information: +10,000 jobs (motion picture and sound recording industries added 17,000 jobs).

   • Transportation and warehousing: Little change.

   • Other major industries: Little change.

3. Average Hourly Earnings: Rose by 12 cents (0.4 percent) to $34.10 for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls. Over the past 12 months, average hourly earnings increased by 4.0 percent.

4. Average Workweek: Edged up by 0.1 hour to 34.4 hours for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls.

5. Revisions: The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for September was revised down by 35,000, and the change for October remained at +150,000. Combined, employment in September and October is 35,000 lower than previously reported.

The next Employment Situation report for December is scheduled for release on Friday, January 5, 2024, at 8:30 a.m. (ET).

Source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

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29 pips potential profit in 7 seconds on 7 December 2023, analysis on futures forex fx low latency news trading USDJPY and EURUSD on US Jobless Claims data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved 29 pips on US Jobless Claims data on 7 December 2023.

USDJPY (19 pips)

EURUSD (10 pips)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

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The latest release on Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims in the United States for the week ending December 2, 2023, indicates a slight increase in seasonally adjusted initial claims by 1,000, reaching 220,000. The 4-week moving average rose to 220,750. The insured unemployment rate decreased to 1.2%. Unadjusted data saw an increase in actual initial claims to 293,511, up 46.9% from the previous week. The unadjusted insured unemployment rate rose to 1.2%, and continued weeks claimed for benefits in all programs decreased to 1,579,159.

Noteworthy state-specific data reveals the highest insured unemployment rates in New Jersey, Alaska, California, Hawaii, Puerto Rico, Massachusetts, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island, Pennsylvania, and Washington. Wisconsin experienced the largest increase in initial claims, while California saw the most significant decrease.

Federal civilian employees and newly discharged veterans claimed fewer benefits, with a decrease in both initial and continued weeks claimed. Overall, the report provides a comprehensive overview of unemployment trends at both national and state levels, including insights into specific demographic groups.

Source: https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf

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36 pips potential profit in 130 seconds on 5 December 2023, analysis on futures forex fx news trading EURUSD and USDJPY on US BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLT) data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved 36 pips on US BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLT) data on 5 December 2023.

USDJPY (25 pips)

EURUSD (11 pips)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

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Analyzing the October 2023 Job Openings and Labor Turnover Report: What the Numbers Reveal about the U.S. Labor Market

Introduction: The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics recently released its Job Openings and Labor Turnover report for October 2023, providing valuable insights into the dynamics of the country's labor market. This comprehensive report covers key indicators such as job openings, hires, and separations, shedding light on trends that impact various industries and employment sectors.

Job Openings: A Closer Look: The report highlights that the number of job openings decreased to 8.7 million on the last business day of October, reflecting a decline of 617,000. This dip is particularly noteworthy, and the job openings rate, standing at 5.3 percent, decreased by 0.3 percentage points over the month and 1.1 points over the year.

The health care and social assistance, finance and insurance, and real estate and rental and leasing sectors experienced declines in job openings. However, the information sector saw an increase of 39,000 job openings. This variance among sectors indicates the diverse landscape of employment opportunities in the U.S.

Hires and Separations: A Balanced Perspective: October 2023 saw relatively stable numbers in hires and total separations, with 5.9 million hires and 5.6 million total separations. The hires rate remained at 3.7 percent, demonstrating a steady pace in recruitment activities. Accommodation and food services, however, experienced a decrease in the number of hires by 110,000, suggesting a potential shift in this sector.

Total separations include quits, layoffs and discharges, and other separations. The quits rate, a measure of employees' willingness or ability to leave jobs, remained at 2.3 percent for the fourth consecutive month. Professional and business services saw an increase in quits by 97,000. Layoffs and discharges remained stable at 1.6 million, with no significant changes across industries.

Establishment Size Class: A Nuanced Perspective: The report breaks down the data by establishment size class, revealing interesting patterns. In October, job openings, hires, and total separations rates remained relatively stable for establishments with 1 to 9 employees. However, establishments with 5,000 or more employees saw a decrease in the quits rate and total separations rate, offering insights into the dynamics of larger enterprises.

Conclusion: The October 2023 Job Openings and Labor Turnover report provides a comprehensive snapshot of the U.S. labor market, showcasing both challenges and opportunities. The decline in job openings and shifts in hires across sectors indicate a dynamic environment. As we await the November 2023 estimates, policymakers, businesses, and job seekers can use this data to make informed decisions and navigate the evolving landscape of the U.S. labor market.

Source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/jolts.nr0.htm

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Mastering News Trading: Strategies and Risks Explained (new video)

Follow our YouTube channel at https://www.youtube.com/@wearehaawks377 for more videos about trading.

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Transcript:

Hello, traders and investors! Welcome back. I'm Angelina, and today, we're diving into the exciting world of news trading.

We'll explore what it is, how it works, and most importantly, whether it's a profitable strategy.

Section 1: Understanding News Trading

Before we get into the nitty-gritty, let's talk about what news trading is all about. News trading is a strategy where traders leverage breaking news to predict and profit from market movements. This can range from economic indicators and earnings reports to geopolitical events that shake up the financial landscape.

Section 2: The Dynamics of News Trading

So, how does news trading work, and why do traders find it so intriguing?

The idea is to anticipate how the market will react to news and position yourself to benefit from the ensuing price movements.

It's a game of speed and accuracy, requiring traders to act swiftly before the market stabilizes.

Section 3: Key Considerations for News Trading

Now, let's break down some crucial considerations for news trading. Firstly, news events often bring increased market volatility. This volatility can be an opportunity or a challenge, depending on how well you navigate it.

Section 4: The Role of Timing and Execution

Timing is everything in news trading. The faster you can act, the better your chances of success. Lucky for you, we provide one of the fastest machine-readable news feeds for macro-economic and commodity data.

Delayed execution, or slippage, can erode potential profits, emphasizing the need for quick and efficient order execution.

Section 5: Risk Management in News Trading

News trading is not without its risks, and effective risk management is paramount. Unexpected market reactions can lead to losses, so setting stop-loss orders and managing risk is essential to protect your capital.

Section 6: Profitability in News Trading

Now, the million-dollar question: Is news trading profitable?

Success in news trading depends on accurate predictions, swift execution, and robust risk management. Experienced traders with a deep understanding of market dynamics may find profitability, but it's not without challenges.

Conclusion: News Trading Unveiled

That's a wrap on news trading! Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting, understanding the dynamics of news trading is crucial.

Share your thoughts in the comments below, hit the like button if you found this video valuable, and don't forget to subscribe to our free news trading analysis at www.haawks.com. You find the link in the description.Until next time, happy trading!

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